Peter Schiff
11.9% weighted
Total predictions
21
Resolved
17
Weighted accuracy
11.9%
Simple accuracy
11.8%
Resolved 17 predictions
| Prediction | Spec | Result |
|---|---|---|
|
The financial crisis of 2025 will kill Bitcoin — Bitcoin was born out of the 2008 crisis; the 2025 crisis will be its end
article
|
2 | ✗ |
|
Gold will reach $4,000 per ounce by end of 2025
article
|
3 | ✓ |
|
IF Bitcoin breaks below $60,000 — it will crash to $20,000 (triple-top failure scenario)
article
If: BTC sustains close below $60000
|
3 | ✗ |
|
A soft landing is impossible — the Fed raising rates from 0% to 5%+ will plunge the economy into recession
podcast
|
2 | ✗ |
|
Bitcoin will fall below $5,000 in 2023
article
|
4 | ✗ |
|
Inflation will be headed higher by year-end 2023 — CPI year-over-year will be rising again by end of 2023
article
|
3 | ✗ |
|
The US recession that began in 2022 will get worse throughout 2023 — the economy will deteriorate significantly
article
|
2 | ✗ |
|
"Bitcoin price will never rise again [to prior highs]. Once it breaks down, the buyers won't return."
article
|
2 | ✗ |
|
"If Bitcoin breaks decisively below $30,000, a crash below $10,000 is highly likely."
article
If: Bitcoin must first sustain a close below $30,000
|
3 | ✗ |
|
"While a temporary move up to $100K is possible, a permanent move down to zero is inevitable. If you don't want to gamble buy gold."
twitter
|
3 | ✗ |
|
"2021 will be the year of inflation. The Fed is going to have to keep printing money and interest rates are going to stay near zero. This is going to be very bullish for gold and very bad for the dollar."
podcast
|
2 | ✗ |
|
"Hyperinflation has gone from the worst-case scenario to the most probable scenario." — stated following the Fed's QE Infinity announcement in March 2020.
podcast
|
2 | ✗ |
|
"The coronavirus recession will be far worse than the 2008 financial crisis. Since there is far more debt now, this crisis will be far worse!"
article
|
2 | ✗ |
|
"Bitcoin is never going to hit $100,000!"
twitter
|
3 | ✗ |
|
"The US stock market crash is long overdue. It can start at any minute. A bear market and recession are right around the corner." — August 2019.
article
|
2 | ✗ |
|
"The recession is a done deal. It doesn't matter whether they continue to raise rates in the future. The recession is a done deal."
podcast
|
2 | ✗ |
|
"Gold is going to shine in 2019." — prediction for significant gold outperformance in calendar year 2019.
interview
|
2 | ✓ |
Pending 4 predictions
| Prediction | Spec | Status |
|---|---|---|
|
inflation has quietly eaten away purchasing power, and it will only accelerate as the debt spiral tightens.
youtube
If: as the debt spiral tightens
|
1 | pending |
|
And what's coming next for silver in 2026 isn't just a rally. It's the kind of move most investors will only understand after it's too late.
youtube
|
2 | pending |
|
IF Bitcoin breaks below $50,000 — it seems highly likely it will at least fall to $20,000 (84% collapse from Oct 2025 ATH)
twitter
If: BTC sustains close below $50000
|
3 | awaiting condition |
|
Gold will reach $6,000 per ounce in 2026
article
|
3 | pending |